-- Jeff Legwold. Just like in life, it . Stat to know: Daniel Jones needs two passing touchdowns and 72 passing yards to have the most in each category by a Giants quarterback in his first three NFL starts since the 1970 merger. NFL Week 5 Early Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022) by Jason Radowitz | Sep, 29 2022 Before Week 4 begins, there's plenty of value with some Week 5 lines. -- Jamison Hensley. -- Kevin Seifert, Bold prediction: Kirk Cousins will have another three-interception day against the Bears' defense, akin to the last time the Vikings played against Matt Eberflus in Indianapolis, where Cousins recorded a 15.7 passer rating and three picks. Wentz's seven picks are the most in the NFL. Read more. The Raiders . See Week 5 rankings. Betting nugget: Last season, first-round quarterbacks making their first career starts went 0-5 ATS. Week 5 NFL game picks: Chiefs top Bills; Cardinals stay perfect with win over 49ers. NFL Nation reporters give their picks for Week 5, including whether the Cowboys can bounce back against Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. Through four games, Kupp has been targeted 54 times with 42 catches for 402 yards. -- Jake Trotter. NFL picks, predictions for Week 5 Los Angeles Rams (-1.5) at Seattle Seahawks Thursday, 8:20 p.m., FOX/NFL Network The NFC West grinder continues. Wagoner's pick: 49ers 27, Browns 24 Betting nugget: Atlanta has failed to cover 13 straight games against AFC opponents (1-12 outright). Bosa dominated Carolina in 2019 with three sacks and an interception. Stat to know: Chiefs running back LeSean McCoy has three scrimmage touchdowns this season, matching his total in 14 games last season. See Week 5 rankings. Stat to know: The Eagles are the only team to win the turnover battle in every game this season. He is the first player with nine sacks through the first four games of a season since Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila recorded nine in 2001. -- Ben Baby, NFL: Brady a rare Super Bowl underdog The team has preached all week that their offense won't change much with the backup quarterback starting, and he'll prove them right come Sunday. Steelers 27, Jaguars 20 -- Jeremy Fowler, The Seahawks are coming off one of the more dominant halves of football they've played under Pete Carroll, outscoring the Colts 36-3 and holding them to 32 yards in the second half last week. -- Rich Cimini, Bold prediction: Bridgewater with throw for 300 yards and three touchdowns, including two to Tyreek Hill. Our NFL Nation reporters bring us the keys to every game, a bold prediction for each matchup and final score predictions. Irrelevant' pick on Toledo's Johnson, Chargers go all-in on TCU with Duggan pick in 7th, 10 fantasy football breakout players for 2023, Will Levis opens up about emotional draft day, Steelers' first draft under Omar Khan was 'aggressive' and achieved high marks, After hoopla of going No. ET | FOX 3 all-time rusher Barry Sanders, Meet Brady's most trusted teammate: His 1995 shoulder pads, Redskins' January decision to maintain status quo looks bad in hindsight, Patriots' offense searching for identity, as it did in 2018, Big pass plays tearing up Ravens' defense, 'Do whatever' to win: Steelers bring back the Wildcat, Raiders hoping to reverse London trend by changing travel schedule, Left with no defense, Jackson needs to carry Ravens this season, Steelers' first draft by Khan 'aggressive', Mack expected to be with the Raiders 'for the long haul', Daniel embraces seldom-used, uncertain backup QB life, Carr: Burfict's 'heart is broken;' QB says ban isn't fair, Analyzing how, where Golden Tate fits into Giants' offense. Matchup rating: 53.8 | Spread: TEN -3 (38.5), What to watch for: Marcus Mariota has not thrown an interception this season, but the Bills are tied with the Giants and 49ers for second in the NFL with five picks each. What to watch for: The Patriots have given up 325 rushing yards on 51 carries (6.37 on average) over their past six quarters . See Week 5 rankings. NFL Nation reporters predict the outcomes and scores for Sunday's and Monday's Week 5 games. Commanders WR Curtis Samuel has 26 receptions this season, tied with Travis Kelce and Davante Adams for eighth most in the NFL. Lamb has been targeted 42 times with 23 catches for 288 yards. NFL Week 5 schedule and game-by-game predictions -- Tim McManus. Matchup rating: 40.4 | Spread: CAR -3.5 (41), What to watch for: Both teams will be relying on top running backs from the 2017 draft to take the pressure off young quarterbacks. Is Jalen Hurts' breakout legit? What to know for fantasy: Since Week 15 of the 2017 season, just once has a player rushed for 90 yards against the Steelers in Pittsburgh. The Bills' offense -- which has gone three-and-out on 48 percent of drives this season, second most in the NFL -- will be playing short-handed at wide receiver because of a thumb injury to No. Matchup rating: 63.6 | Spread: HOU -5 (49), What to watch for: Will wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins top 100 receiving yards against Atlanta? Raiders 23, Ravens 16 -- Paul Gutierrez, Three key players from the Packers playoff victory over the Cowboys are gone -- Jared Cook (the tight end who caught the sideline pass to set up the game-winning field goal), Micah Hyde (the safety who had an interception) and T.J. Lang (the Pro Bowl guard who protected Aaron Rodgers). Among those players, no one is averaging fewer fantasy points per touch than Sony Michel (0.44). But this will be an emotional weekend at Lucas Oil Stadium for the Colts. The NFL reporter use his Twitter account to share insight about the league's upcoming 2023 schedule . -- Brooke Pryor. Week 5 NFL game picks: Chiefs top Bills; Cardinals stay perfect with The Pats are coming off a 16-point performance in which quarterback Tom Brady completed just 18 of 39 passes for 150 yards and an interception. And for fantasy managers looking to make all the right moves, Graziano and Fowler name must-start sleepers and point out potential fantasy flops of the week. And the Dolphins' struggling offense presents three receivers who could give them fits once again. 2023 NFL Draft props, picks: Michael Mayer Under 23.5 Betting nugget: Baltimore is 12-2-2 ATS when the line is between +3 and -3 since 2019 (Lamar Jackson's first full season as starter). They also have a good secondary, which already has five interceptions. ET | CBS play. (1 . What to know for fantasy: Pittsburgh's Diontae Johnson owns a 20.5% target share this season from Rudolph, up from his 9.7% rate with Ben Roethlisberger under center. While they are struggling in the passing game, the Bears are third in the NFL in rushing yards (709). Since Chicago isnt a huge threat with its receivers, the defense will focus on Tarik Cohen and Jordan Howard in the running game. The Colts' three losses have come to the same three teams that San Francisco has lost to -- Arizona, Los Angeles Rams and Seattle -- and Indianapolis lost those games by a combined 68 points. -- Ben Baby. NFL draft 2023: Biggest post-draft questions for all 32 teams - ESPN If Sam Bradford makes it through three days of practice this week and is ready to play, he will start in Chicago. Watch on ESPN+ More , Bold prediction: Nope. Read more. What to know for fantasy: Baker Mayfield averaged one touchdown pass every 18 attempts as a rookie. Panthers QB Young all 'business now', Bold prediction: Bears rookie running back David Montgomery finally breaks through with 100 rushing yards. Stat to know: The 49ers are 0-2 and averaging 10.0 points per game on the road this season -- and 2-0, 25.5 PPG at home. This could be Rodgers' breakout game. 1, Panthers' Bryce Young is all 'business now', Top picks Christian Gonzalez, Keion White reflect Patriots' ideal identity, Big takeaways from the NFL draft: A historic QB class, the rebuilt AFC South and new GMs thriving, NFL Nation sizes up all 259 draft selections, XFL semifinals: Defenders roll Sea Dragons, set up title showdown with Renegades. FPI prediction: MIN, 71.6% (by an average of 7.9 points), Matchup must-reads: Jones brings new energy, hope to Giants What's happened to Thielen and Diggs? ET | Fox Betting nugget: This game has the highest over/under this season. Jack Driscoll, who hasn't started a game at left tackle since college, has been getting the work on Hurts' blind side this week. He is seeing the most targets per route run (32.4%) among wide receivers this season. See Week 5 rankings. With DT Fletcher Cox still working through a calf injury, there's a chance Palmer will have a little more time to operate. Week 5 NFL predictions: Game Postponed. What to know for fantasy: Murray leads the NFL with 187 opportunities this season (pass-plus-rush attempts). Jets 24, Browns 10 -- Pat McManamon, The Lions are strong against the run, which makes the timing of Panthers quarterback Cam Newton finding his timing against New England most important. Betting nugget: Since the start of the 2016 season, Arizona is 3-13 ATS in 1 p.m. NFL Power Rankings Week 5 bet now, bet later Week 5 spot bets Under 50.5 (-110) Combined, both teams have begun the season 3-5 O/U while the Bengals are riding a three-game Under. Eli Manning beats Philip Rivers for the first time in his career. Bold prediction: With quarterback Sam Darnold (mono) sidelined for a third straight game, the Jets' epic struggles on offense will continue. We answered the biggest QB questions, How Saquon Barkley and AJ Dillon became the 'Quad Kings' of the NFL, Landon Collins, Giants finalizing deal, sources say, Packers' Aaron Rodgers wanted longer London trip, Rodgers: 'This way of winning, I don't think, is sustainable', Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Stat to know: The Vikings have allowed at least 300 yards in 12 straight games dating back to last season. This one could be decided by which quarterback is upright at the end of the afternoon. They might miss them Sunday. Neal has played well in the past while filling in for Jamal Adams and appears to be in line to get another opportunity, having replaced Jones in the fourth quarter of Seattle's win over Detroit. What to know for fantasy: Zach Ertz finished last season as TE2 despite not scoring his first touchdown until Week 5. Because of the injuries in the Steelers' secondary, Josh Allen is primed to jump out to a big lead early and then let the ground attack go to work to run out the rest of the game. But New York also hasn't faced a quarterback like Rodgers and has a pedestrian 9.0 sacks and a 29.0% pressure rate, per NFL Next Gen Stats. Patrick Mahomes has been as good against the Raiders as any opponent, with a 7-1 record, 22 touchdowns and just three interceptions. And regardless of whos at quarterback, Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs need to spark the Vikings' aerial attack early while the running game gets in its groove with Latavius Murray taking the reins for an injured Dalvin Cook. Stat to know: Tampa Bay's Shaquil Barrett leads the NFL with 9.0 sacks through four games. NFL Week 5 odds, point spreads, picks and best bets - The Washington Post Week 5 NFL predictions: Scores for every game - NFL Nation- ESPN -- Jake Trotter, Bold prediction: The Chargers have yet to put together a 100-rushing yard performance this season, but that will change Sunday against the Browns. Betting nugget: Baltimore has covered each of the past five meetings in Pittsburgh. Newton's pick: Panthers 21, Jaguars 17 Stat to know: According to NFL Next Gen Stats data, Aaron Rodgers ranked first in completion percentage into tight windows in 2016. Vikings 27, Bears 26 -- Jeff Dickerson, Cowboys' running game will be tested on Sunday (1:06), Week 5 NFL predictions: Scores for every game, Dolphins' Jaelan Phillips, teammates inspired by mentoring incarcerated teens, What adding Odell Beckham Jr. would mean for the New York Jets, Extending Vikings star Justin Jefferson: what it could cost, possible sticking points. The Steelers have allowed three touchdowns on passes that have traveled at least 25 yards in the air, tied for third worst in the NFL. On the other side of the ball, Tom Brady said his shoulder is fine, but former Falcon Julio Jones' status is up in the air after missing the second half last week because of a knee injury. Vikings 20, Bears 17 -- Courtney Cronin, The Bears are 14-2 in their past 16 home games against the Vikings dating back to the 2001 season. CFB: Year in review: Best games of 2020 Read more. Betting nugget: The Broncos are 1-7 ATS in their past eight games. That should change against a Tampa Bay team that is averaging 31 points per game and allowing 29. "That's why he's one of the best [defensive] ends/outside 'backers ever." It's time to look ahead to Week 5. 1 overall pick, are hours away from being on the clock -- which means the 2023 NFL draft has arrived. Also note that the Redskins enter the game ranked 29th in rushing yards allowed per game (147.5). Projecting the Giant's first-round pick, Moody's pick: Saints 27, Seahawks 24 NFL: Mahomes favorite for game's MVP Chiefs 27, Texans 20 -- Sarah Barshop, The Vikings' defense aims to take advantage of Mitchell Trubiskys inexperience at quarterback by disguising coverages and playing hide-and-seek with its blitzes. Gutierrez's pick: Bears 20, Raiders 16 What to know for fantasy: Through four weeks, there were 44 players with at least 25 carries. Time/station: 8:20 PM EST, ESPN. Washington's pass defense is allowing 259.8 yards per game, but 294 yards per game at home. Christian McCaffrey, the eighth pick, leads the NFL in rushing with 411 yards, and Jacksonville's Leonard Fournette, the fourth pick, isn't far behind with 404. Betting nugget: Both Allen and Gardner Minshew II are 3-0 ATS in their careers as starters. Things are lined up -- on paper at least -- for the 49ers to get their first victory of the season. With the return of Michael Gallup, Lamb will have chances to get away from Jalen Ramsey to make more plays. This week's draft seemingly begins with the second overall pick -- excluding Tuesday's wild odds move for the top pick -- but it could take a few wild turns right after that. It sounds crazy, but the Jets will win their third straight game. NFL Expert Picks - Super Bowl Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 Week 18 Wild Card Divisional Round Conference Championship Super Bowl hidden The Commanders have allowed 1.17 yards after contact, also second best the past two weeks. ET | FOX Spread: NE -3.0 (45.5). Matchup rating: 9.9 | Spread: CIN -3 (46.5), What to watch for: The game between winless teams could feature multiple sacks. See Week 5 rankings. The versatile back is now on pace for 115 catches this season. Through four games, they have collected an NFL-low 390 passing yards -- the fourth fewest by any team at this point in a season since 2000. He had just 14 receptions for 174 yards and zero TDs in 11 games last season. Theyll give up some yards and some plays. NFL Expert Picks - Super Bowl Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 Week 18 Wild Card Divisional Round . 2023 NFL draft cheat sheet: Prospect picks, rankings, stats - ESPN Plus, Antonio Brown is angry and wants the ball, which means he's due for a big game. He is tied with Russell Wilson for the most in the NFL in that span. Chuck Pagano has never started a season 1-4 as coach of the Colts. Our NFL Nation reporters bring us the biggest keys to every game and a bold prediction for each matchup. ESPN. Read more. NFL Nation reporters give their picks for Week 5, including whether the Cowboys can bounce back against Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. UPDATE: I made seven changes to my final mock draft -- starting with the No. Betting nugget: Minnesota is 22-10-1 ATS after a loss under Mike Zimmer. -- Eric D. Williams, Bold prediction: The Broncos have not intercepted a pass this season, but they will get their first one Sunday. Keim's pick: Patriots 27, Redskins 7 Jalen Ramsey to the Eagles: What are the realistic odds? 2022 NFL Expert Picks | ESPN Read more. Spread: GB -8.0 (41), What to watch for: This could be a nightmare matchup for the Packers' defense. Chargers-Saints point spread: Saints -8.0 (over/under 50.0) Stat to know: The Dolphins' 11-2 record since 2021 Week 9 is tied with the Chiefs for best in the NFL. Stat to know: Jared Goff is tied for the lead in passing touchdowns with 11. Colts vs Broncos starts the week off on Thursday Night Football. More NFL coverage , Bold prediction: The Bucs will hold Alvin Kamara under 100 all-purpose yards and under 45 rushing yards. -- Paul Gutierrez. Expect the Texans to feed the Jaguars a heavy dose of Pierce, especially with run-game anchor Foley Fatukasi dealing with a quad injury. What to know for fantasy: Curtis Samuel's target share is nearly twice that of DJ Moore (24.1% to 12.1%) with Kyle Allen under center for the Panthers this season. They also rank No. Chicago knows how dangerous Minnesota's run game can be, so they'll stack the box to try to take away Dalvin Cook and make Cousins beat them with his arm. Big Ben's 3-1 home-away touchdown ratio since 2015 looms large here, especially with Bell looking like his 2016 self and Jacksonville entering the week allowing 5.7 yards per carry, the league's worst by a large margin. But he'll face a Redskins defense that, on third down, allows QBs to complete 87.2% of their throws and post a 140.5 passer rating. Matchup rating: 50.5 | Spread: BAL -3.5 (44), What to watch for: The Ravens' defense has a penchant for giving up big plays. NFL: Notable Super Bowl betting trends Walder's pick: Eagles 23, Cardinals 20 passing windows despite a smaller 5-foot-10, 204-pound frame. See Week 5 rankings. Jets' high-priced, underperforming offensive line receives wake-up call Eagles RBs coach Duce Staley: 'A lot of Jordan and a lot of Miles', 1 p.m. The Bills and Steelers matchup, discussed in greater detail below, moved from Buffalo minus-8 to Buffalo minus-14, but a perhaps. -- Courtney Cronin. Full list of Mr. Irrelevants in NFL draft history: Is Brock Purdy already the best final pick? If the Titans can't run, they are in trouble against the Dolphins, especially with the uncertainty of Mariota (hamstring). Read more. Stat to know: JuJu Smith-Schuster's 15 receiving yards against the Bengals were the fewest he has had in a regular-season game in which he registered at least one reception. Betting nugget: This is the 63rd straight regular-season game that Brady will be favored in, breaking a tie with Steve Young (1993-97) for the longest streak by a quarterback in the Super Bowl era. His six catches last week against the Chargers are 60% of his grabs for the season. He needs nine receptions on Sunday to break the five-game record, held by Zach Ertz (2018) and Eric Johnson (2004). FPI prediction: SF, 72.5% (by an average of 8.3 points), Matchup must-reads: Chubb's running finally launches Browns' offense How good are first-place 49ers? Watch the latest episode, Bold prediction: Cleveland running back Nick Chubb rushes for more than 100 yards against San Francisco's No. Bill Belichick, Patriots leaders: Bill Russell's impact felt throughout organization, New England Patriots WR DeVante Parker solidifying role with big plays, contested grabs, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. NFL Expert Picks - Super Bowl Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 Week 18 Wild Card Divisional Round . Dolphins 17, Titans 14 -- James Walker, The Chargers finished 1-3 on trips to the East Coast last season and are in the midst of a nine-game losing streak. ET | Fox FPI prediction: LAC, 57.5% (by an average of 2.3 points), Matchup must-reads: Chargers hope to get on track Browns' schedule gets difficult from now on Garrett back at Browns practice for first time since car crash, What to watch for: It looks like another week without Winston and wide receiver Michael Thomas, which would mean Andy Dalton will likely take over again at quarterback. Watson will continue to play well, but the Texans defense will have a tough time containing the speed Kansas City has on offense. Transactions | Injuries Stat to know: Joe Burrow has 12 touchdowns on passes of 20-plus yards downfield since the start of last season. -- Courtney Cronin. Spread: PHI -5.0 (49.5), What to watch for: The Cardinals will have their work cut out for them passing and defending the ball. Jets 20, Browns 17 -- Rich Cimini, Old friend Josh McCown is healthy and completing 70 percent of his passes, and the Jets have won two in a row with the kind of run-pass balance that the Browns should study. What to know for fantasy: Derek Carr has completed over 70% of his passes in four straight games against the Chiefs and cleared 18 fantasy points in three of those contests. How have point spreads moved for Week 5 as Sunday approaches? Predicting NFL Week 5 upset picks, fantasy football sleepers and flops Gregg Rosenthal went 10-6 . The first round of the 2023 NFL Draft certainly had its moments, as three quarterbacks went within the first four picks and each of the major conferences had a player selected for the first time . 3 all-time rusher Barry Sanders, 1 p.m. That number is down to once every 34.8 passes this season, and he ranks as QB23 through Week 4. It ranks in the bottom third of the NFL in yards allowed per carry (5.0), and the Giants -- with the NFL's leading rusher, Saquon Barkley -- run it at the second-best clip in the league (5.8 yards per carry). NFL picks, predictions against the spread Week 5: Bengals top Ravens What will help you is the fact that the GOAT is averaging 28.0 PPG as a Buccaneer against the Falcons. Matchup rating: 77.2 | Spread: DAL -3.5 (46.5), What to watch for: Can the Packers' defense replicate what New Orleans did a week ago in holding Ezekiel Elliott to 35 yards on 18 carries? The one thing that might help their offense is the return of running back Alvin Kamara, who said he's ready to roll this week. Unless, of course, two guys who never played with Mack in Oakland -- right tackle Trent Brown, whom the Raiders feted with a four-year, $66 million contract, and left tackle Kolton Miller, the Raiders' first-round pick a year ago -- have something to say about it and keep quarterback Derek Carr clean. DET-NE | CHI-MIN | MIA-NYJ FPI prediction: KC, 80.9% (by an average of 12.0 points), Matchup must-reads: Mahomes, Favre and other NFL stars reveal the larger-than-life tales behind Andy Reid Colts GM Chris Ballard has needed his no-flinch, no-panic approach Chiefs RB Williams has waited behind big-name backs before Ebron 'disgusted' by drops, takes blame for Colts' loss, Monday, 8:15 p.m. Stat to know: Jacoby Brissett is fifth in both QBR (75) and completion percentage (74%) in home games this season. Sidney Jones (hamstring) has practiced this week in hopes of playing. All newly updated picks . How drawing plays benefits McVay, others Markquese Bell capitalizing on Cowboys opportunity, What to watch for: The Ravens have lost a franchise-worst five straight home games (by a total of 12 points), dating back to last season. Raiders 20, Ravens 13 -- Jamison Hensley, As easy as it would be to go with Baltimore -- the Raiders have converted just two of their past 24 third-down opportunities and are without starting QB Derek Carr -- the home crowd is the X factor, and so is the confidence Oakland has in Manuel. Read more. Gregg Rosenthal. That's not the attitude a winless team needs. Levis opens up about draft day Stat to know: Rodgers is averaging 6.2 air yards per attempt, his fewest through four games since becoming a starter in 2008. See Week 5 rankings. NFL Week 5 picks, predictions: Who wins each Week 5 NFL game? NE-WSH | BAL-PIT | OAK-CHI See Week 5 rankings. All-Time Longhorns NFL Draft Picks. -- Marcel Louis-Jacques. Facebook; Twitter; Facebook Messenger; Pinterest; Email; Scoring is up across the NFL. 2022 NFL Expert Picks | ESPN The answer is to be determined. The Bills might be 3-1 and playing the 1-3 Bengals, but Vegas seems to like Cincinnati in this game. That will make it even harder for the Jaguars to do much in the passing game, especially downfield, to open things up for RB Leonard Fournette. See Week 5 rankings. Stafford already has been sacked 12 times, and the Panthers, with future Hall of Famer Julius Peppers playing at a high level (4.5 sacks), have the firepower to get Stafford off his game. ET | ESPN CFB: The way-too-early top 25 for 2021 -- Jeff Dickerson, Biggest post-draft questions -- Rich Cimini. Dolphins 19, Titans 17 -- Cameron Wolfe, The Dolphins allowed 235 rushing yards in last year's loss to the Titans. -- Mike Reiss. Betting nugget: Mahomes is 7-1 outright and 6-2 ATS against Las Vegas. As Giants defensive coordinator Wink Martindale said of the Packers QB, 'It's like owning a python and saying, 'Don't worry about it, he won't bite.'" Texas has had 357 players selected in the NFL Draft. Tyrod Taylor has excelled in passing to Charles Clay and LeSean McCoy this season, but the Bengals boast the NFL's lowest yards per catch (6.49) by opposing tight ends and running backs.